TL;DR
Neuro-Symbolic AI in risk adjustment combines neural networks with symbolic reasoning to deliver 98% coding accuracy and complete audit defensibility. Unlike general purpose AI systems that hallucinate 20 to 40 percent of medical references, Neuro-Symbolic AI architectures ground every recommendation in verifiable clinical evidence that humans can fully understand.
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Introduction: The Regulatory Shift That Changes Everything
The CMS HCC V28 model reached 100% implementation for payment year 2026, marking the most significant shift in Medicare Advantage risk adjustment in over a decade [1]. CMS announced plans to audit all 550 eligible MA contracts annually, with sample sizes increasing to 200 records per plan [2]. This expansion fundamentally changes decision-making for risk adjustment leaders.
DOJ enforcement actions targeting retrospective systems designed to increase raf scores have confirmed: process and intent matter as much as accuracy. When auditors review your organization, they evaluate whether your AI systems were designed to find truth or inflate RAF scores through legitimate clinical documentation.
This challenge is exactly what Neuro-Symbolic AI was built for. Health plans need AI models supporting decision-making with explanation and compliance, not just pattern recognition. The decision-making process must be transparent, auditable, and defensible.
Why General Purpose AI Fails in Risk Adjustment
Before understanding what Neuro-Symbolic AI does differently, it is worth understanding why organizations cannot plug ChatGPT or traditional natural language processing engines into risk adjustment workflows and expect defensible results.
A 2024 JMIR study found general AI models exhibited critical hallucination levels, with ChatGPT fabricating 20% of academic citations [5]. A Frontiers in AI study found hallucinations in 40% of AI-generated discharge summaries [6]. In risk adjustment, where every diagnosis code must link to verifiable clinical evidence, hallucination creates direct compliance exposure.
General purpose AI models lack built-in knowledge of CMS coding guidelines and MEAT requirements. A Health Science Reports review identified limitations, including inaccurate content and inconsistent accuracy, posing risks for clinical decision support [7]. These AI systems operate as black box models that cannot provide evidence trails. They are prediction engines, not compliance engines with model transparency.
This architectural limitation of large language models is why risk adjustment solutions require purpose-built artificial intelligence.
What Is Neuro-Symbolic AI and How Does Neural Symbolic Integration Work?
Neuro-Symbolic AI represents a hybrid architecture integrating two approaches to artificial intelligence. A 2024 systematic review confirmed that this neural symbolic integration addresses critical limitations: neural networks gain interpretability and logical reasoning capabilities, while symbolic AI systems gain the ability to learn from training data [4].
The Neuro Layer: The neural network component uses deep learning and machine learning models trained on clinical data. These AI models and neural networks understand context through object recognition, recognizing clinical patterns with human-like comprehension. Object recognition enables neural networks to identify relevant clinical information across varied document formats. This gives the system capabilities to process complex documentation that humans encounter daily.
The Symbolic Layer: The symbolic AI component applies knowledge representation through a structured knowledge graph containing over 60 million entity relationships mapping diagnoses, symptoms, procedures, and medications in knowledge bases. It embeds CMS coding guidelines and MEAT requirements directly into reasoning for compliant documentation. When neural networks identify potential conditions, symbolic reasoning validates whether the clinical context supports that medical diagnosis.
What Is Explainable AI and Why Does It Matter for Humans?
Explainable AI refers to AI systems making decision-making processes transparent and understandable to humans. In risk adjustment, explainability is a compliance requirement for human users who must verify every code recommendation.
A 2024 JMIR systematic review concluded that explainable AI models are necessary to foster healthcare workers’ trust in clinical decision support systems [9]. This differentiates glass box approaches from black box models, where humans cannot verify reasoning. Explainable AI enables better decision-making by showing the path from clinical evidence to code recommendation.
What Is an Explainable AI Example?
When Neuro-Symbolic AI processes a chart, coders see: evidence location with hyperlinks, human readable explanation of clinical reasoning, specific MEAT documentation, and compliance validation. This example of XAI techniques enables humans to make good decisions with AI assistance through model transparency. Coders can verify and defend every code because explainable AI showed its work.
Is ChatGPT an Explainable AI?
No. Large language models and neural networks generate text based on statistical patterns without tracing outputs to source evidence. They cannot guarantee compliance with coding rules. This difference matters in healthcare and criminal justice domains where explainable machine learning requirements apply: decisions affecting humans must be traceable [10]. Explainable ai provides the audit trail that black box models cannot.
What Does HCC Stand For and What Are Examples of HCC Conditions?
HCC stands for Hierarchical Condition Category, the CMS classification for diagnoses determining raf scores for Medicare Advantage payments [1]. Understanding what HCC means helps coders and providers grasp why accurate documentation directly affects raf scores and reimbursement.
Examples of HCC Conditions: Diabetes with complications (HCC 18), chronic kidney disease stage 4 (HCC 137), major depressive disorder (HCC 59), heart failure (HCC 85), and COPD (HCC 111). Each medical diagnosis maps to specific raf scores affecting health plans’ reimbursement calculations.
What Is HCC in Mental Health?
Mental health HCCs capture psychiatric conditions, including major depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, and schizophrenia. Accurate documentation is critical for patient care because these diagnoses lack objective markers. Proper documentation of mental health conditions significantly impacts raf scores.
What Does HCC Mean on MyChart?
When patients see HCC references, it indicates providers documented conditions mapping to disease categories for risk adjustment affecting health plans in value-based care models.
What Is Coding Defensively and What Are the 5 Principles?
Defensive coding means documenting and submitting diagnosis codes that withstand audit scrutiny through proper clinical validation. OIG audits consistently find that diagnosis codes do not comply with Federal requirements, with overpayment rates of 5 to 8 percent [11]. The key to defensibility is ensuring every code has documented clinical evidence.
The 5 Principles of Defensible Coding:
- Evidence-Based: Every code links to specific documentation with traceable reasoning
- MEAT Compliant: Documentation shows active monitoring, evaluation, assessment, or treatment as required by CMS standards
- Encounter Linked: Diagnoses connect to face-to-face provider visits with clinical support
- Bidirectional Review: AI systems identify codes to add AND remove for compliance
- Audit Ready: Complete evidence packages with clinical documentation exist before auditors request them
Two Common Defensive Coding Techniques: Prospective validation flags documentation issues during patient care encounters before claims submission, ensuring clinical requirements are captured. Retrospective cleanup reviews historical charts using AI to identify unsupported codes requiring removal and care gaps where evidence exists, but codes were not captured.
What is meant by Secure Coding?
Secure coding protects code recommendations through verifiable evidence trails while preventing unauthorized modifications, ensuring process integrity that auditors can verify through clinical documentation and AI assisted validation.
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How Does Neuro-Symbolic AI Achieve Superior Coding Accuracy?
The coding accuracy difference between general artificial intelligence and Neuro- Symbolic AI is significant. Organizations implementing Neuro-Symbolic AI documented 92% accuracy out of the box, with validated production coding accuracy exceeding 98%. This compares to 65 to 70%, typical of traditional machine learning approaches.
What matters is defensible accuracy, where every correct code is backed by traceable evidence supporting clinical decision making.
Step 1: Neural Understanding. Neural networks read clinical notes through deep learning, processing unstructured language to identify potential conditions requiring decision-making by coders.
Step 2: Symbolic Validation. The knowledge graph validates whether clinical context supports each condition through symbolic reasoning, cross-referencing CMS guidelines and organization-specific compliance policies to support accurate decision-making.
Step 3: Bidirectional Review. The system identifies codes to add AND flags unsupported codes for removal. This combination is the most important compliance difference in retrospective risk adjustment, ensuring decision-making considers both additions and deletions.
Step 4: Evidence Package Generation. For every recommendation, the system generates complete evidence: code, source evidence, clinical reasoning, and MEAT documentation to support coder decision-making.
Why Do 85% of AI Projects Fail in Healthcare?
Research indicates 85% of artificial intelligence projects in healthcare fail to reach production [3]. Reasons connected to why artificial general intelligence struggles in regulated environments:
Black box AI systems cannot explain their reasoning to humans, making good decisions impossible to verify. General AI models lack structured knowledge bases containing CMS guidelines. Training data limitations produce outputs failing MEAT validation. Poor workflow integration creates friction.
Neuro-Symbolic AI addresses these failure mechanisms through a combination of neural learning with symbolic reasoning, delivering capabilities that pure machine learning cannot achieve.
How Neuro-Symbolic AI Supports V28 Compliance
The CMS HCC V28 model creates challenges that Neuro-Symbolic AI addresses through a combination of neural understanding and symbolic reasoning [12].
V28 removed approximately 2,294 diagnosis codes from HCC mappings. The symbolic reasoning layer identifies which codes no longer contribute to RAF scores while surfacing alternatives that humans verify.
V28 uses constraining to assign identical coefficients regardless of severity. Neuro-Symbolic AI shifts focus to the most accurate and defensible codes based on documentation, improving compliance outcomes in value-based care.
V28 expands HCC categories from 86 to 115. The knowledge graph contains complete model mappings enabling organizations to understand member profile changes and identify care gaps for future planning.
Proven Outcomes: What Changes When You Deploy Purpose-Built AI
Organizations implementing Neuro-Symbolic AI documented measurable improvements across coding accuracy, efficiency, and compliance outcomes. These results demonstrate why purpose built AI outperforms general AI approaches.
Accuracy: Independent validation confirmed 86% out of box accuracy, exceeding benchmarks by 21 percentage points. With tuning, production accuracy exceeds 98% with traceable evidence. This AI-powered accuracy transforms coding operations.
Productivity: Chart review time decreased from 40 plus minutes to under 8 minutes using AI assistance. Coders and providers achieved 60 to 80% productivity improvements with AI support. Expert coders spend time validating AI recommendations instead of manual chart mining, leveraging AI efficiency.
Audit Readiness: Organizations generate complete audit packages automatically through AI. RADV preparation shifts from reactive scramble into controlled process. Humans remain central while AI accelerates their work and improves AI assisted outcomes.
ROI: Validated AI deployments demonstrate 3 to 5x ROI through accurate revenue capture and risk mitigation enabled by AI precision.
Retrospective and Prospective Workflows
Neuro-Symbolic AI capabilities extend across the full risk adjustment lifecycle for service delivery.
Retrospective: Protect and Clean. The AI system validates existing documentation, identifies adds and deletes, and prepares audit packages. Neuro-Symbolic AI does not create diagnoses. It helps ensure diagnoses documented are accurate, timely, and defensible. Coders review historical charts, verify codes have adequate support, and identify care gaps.
Prospective: Grow Safely. Neuro-Symbolic AI provides real-time clinical decision support during patient care encounters, surfacing care gaps and flagging issues before claims submission. Providers benefit from AI systems helping document conditions at the point of service, where diagnoses are most defensible. Prospective risk adjustment is where future value concentrates in value-based care.
Conclusion: Defensible Coding Is the Foundation of Risk Adjustment Future
The convergence of V28, expanded RADV enforcement [2], and OIG scrutiny has fundamentally changed success in risk adjustment. Organizations relying on general artificial intelligence with documented hallucination rates face increasing compliance exposure.
Risk adjustment is no longer about finding codes. It is about proving the right codes with the right evidence documented during real encounters that regulators and auditors trust.
Neuro-Symbolic AI offers architecture aligned with industry direction: from revenue to defensibility, from automation to decision support. By combining neural network capabilities with symbolic reasoning, this approach delivers coding accuracy and compliance defensibility that the regulatory environment demands for the future of value-based care.
Frequently Asked Questions
Neuro-Symbolic AI combines neural networks with symbolic AI. This creates AI systems reading documentation with human-like comprehension while ensuring outputs comply with CMS guidelines through verifiable reasoning that humans can fully understand.
Large language models exhibit hallucination rates of 20 to 40% in medical contexts [5][6]. Neuro-Symbolic AI grounds every recommendation in structured knowledge bases with audit trails that humans verify.
Validated implementations achieve 92% out of box accuracy. With tuning, coding accuracy exceeds 98% with traceable evidence and CMS compliance validation.
A glass box system shows reasoning with model transparency. Black box models generate answers without ability to explain conclusions to human users, which regulators increasingly scrutinize.
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Source
[1] CMS, “2026 Medicare Advantage Advance Notice Fact Sheet,” 2025
[3] MIT Sloan Management Review, “Why AI Projects Fail,” 2024
[4] arXiv, “Neuro-Symbolic AI in 2024: A Systematic Review,” January 2025
[5] Chelli, M. et al., “Hallucination Rates and Reference Accuracy of ChatGPT,” JMIR, May 2024
[8] CMS, “Medicare Advantage Risk Adjustment Data Validation Program,” 2025
[9] Tun, H. et al., “Trust in AI-Based Clinical Decision Support,” JMIR, July 2025
[11] HHS OIG, “MA Risk-Adjustment Data Targeted Review,” 2024-2025
[12] American Physician Groups, “CMS-HCC V28 Impact Analysis,” 2023
About the author
Raxit Goswami
Vice President of Research and Development
Raxit is a healthcare AI researcher with over 15 years of experience in clinical NLP, knowledge graphs, and machine learning. A published author with 70+ academic citations, he focuses on building explainable AI systems that deliver audit-defensible coding accuracy. At RAAPID, Raxit leads the development of Neuro-Symbolic AI solutions that enhance risk adjustment precision and regulatory compliance.